Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.125528 3.640040 4.225715 4.944473 5.806484 6.811618 8.079013
2025-02-09 2.423858 3.102638 3.964139 5.150104 6.759581 8.895515 11.991348
2025-02-16 2.023779 2.755801 3.754337 5.240484 7.438607 10.638496 15.778258
2025-02-23 1.766431 2.526570 3.625187 5.367858 8.136744 12.496936 20.155242
2025-03-02 1.532626 2.281319 3.415748 5.312864 8.514543 13.907348 24.150064
2025-03-09 1.379111 2.127590 3.311155 5.388478 9.095999 15.749639 29.372862
2025-03-16 1.230266 1.956940 3.149000 5.331123 9.422420 17.192766 34.227274
2025-03-23 1.111746 1.818266 3.016795 5.297585 9.775078 18.746627 39.748941
2025-03-30 1.000090 1.676135 2.857461 5.184688 9.946575 19.965348 44.889539
2025-04-06 0.932851 1.602684 2.809028 5.271590 10.531731 22.180913 53.102486
2025-04-13 0.846581 1.484582 2.662759 5.140502 10.628815 23.327372 58.983707
2025-04-20 0.811702 1.457081 2.683593 5.353192 11.522088 26.551096 71.686865
2025-04-27 0.760917 1.403734 2.667257 5.531770 12.495328 30.557056 89.505379
2025-05-04 0.716130 1.358803 2.666925 5.761724 13.700208 35.725587 114.488143
2025-05-11 0.665932 1.295318 2.616693 5.864601 14.611642 40.433142 141.058925
2025-05-18 0.625008 1.245125 2.586656 6.009495 15.682002 46.066559 175.364958
2025-05-25 0.574300 1.167229 2.482687 5.946929 16.148489 49.972572 205.580134
2025-06-01 0.539112 1.118711 2.438836 6.032958 17.090447 55.943636 250.646313
2025-06-08 0.498740 1.053514 2.345975 5.967700 17.544985 60.371759 292.229792
2025-06-15 0.464251 0.997689 2.268025 5.929547 18.084695 65.418941 342.642351
2025-06-22 0.428742 0.935416 2.165587 5.801148 18.284956 69.211464 389.880955
2025-06-29 0.407649 0.905130 2.140490 5.899979 19.335366 77.275807 475.792808
2025-07-06 0.377377 0.849172 2.041068 5.750909 19.425551 81.022995 535.654347